Friday, June 11, 2010

How Microsoft can vie the market capitalization race without really trying

Microsoft (MSFT) has held the tradition of capitalizing only a very small portion of its software research and development costs.


The amount it is conservatively understate approximates US$10b, which translates to US$6.5b shareholder value. Calculation below.


If this adjustment is done, MSFT market capitalization would be US$229b, higher than that of Apple (AAPL) which amounts $227. This has not even inusual market overreaction to good information.


In sum, with only a slight legal and reasonable accounting adjustment, Microsoft can easily come back to be world’s most valuable technology company. Issue is: is the status quo really important besides media coverage?


Detail accounting adjustment and calculation is below:


Assumptions



  • R&D is capitalized using straight-line depreciation over expected life of the software which approximates three years

  • Amortization is taken from half a year’s spending


Capitalization





















































YearR&D Outlay (US$b)Proportion Capitalized this fiscal year (%)Asset this fiscal year ($b)Proportion Capitalized last fiscal year (%)Asset last fiscal year ($b)
06.61 - 1/3/2 = 83.55.5
-16.11 - 1/3/2 - 1/3 = 50.53.11 - 1/3/2 = 83.55.1
-27.71 - 1/3/2 - 2/3 = 16.51.31 - 1/3/2 - 1/3 = 50.53.9
-36.61 - 1/3/2 - 2/3 = 16.51
Total9.910

Adjustment













































Adjustment this fiscal yearAdjustment last fiscal year
US$bAssetsLiabilities & EquityAssetsLiabilities & Equity
Balance Sheet
Long-term Intangible Assets+9.9+10
Deferred Tax Liability+3.4+3.5
Common Shareholders’ Equity+6.5+6.5



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